2019年10月18日金曜日

China sees Trump as a dog with a big bark but little bite.



These thinkers believe that Trump, by polarizing U.S. domestic politics, damaging Washington’s international credibility and traditional global stewardship, and undermining long-standing alliance arrangements, has presented Beijing with its “greatest strategic opportunity since the end of the Cold War,” as Yan Xuetong, one of China’s foremost strategic thinkers, put it. These Chinese thinkers see Trump as a dog with a big bark but little bite 

Though the administration has greenlighted some arms sales to Taiwan, whether Trump would back Taipei were Beijing to attack remains doubtful, especially given his mercenary attitude toward U.S. military power.

These relinquishments of U.S. leadership in multilateral institutions provide China the space to take a greater role in global governance and in setting international rules and norms
Trump’s has abandoned the Kurds, longtime partners in the Middle East; questioned America’s commitment to NATO; and let the U.S. post-World War II East Asian alliance network decay.

 トランプは、よく吠えるが咬みはしない犬か。

 日本の生存と反映にとって役に立つ大統領か、どうかが問題。
結論としては役に立たんだろう。

 じゃあ、オバマが日本にとってよかったか、というとPivot to Asia とか言って、何もしなかったしなああ。日韓合意を安倍ちゃんに押し付けたり、靖国行くなと安倍ちゃんに釘をさしたくらいかあ?ーーそれが良かったのかどうかはわからんけど。

 日本の政治家、戦略家たちがアメリカを頼りにしすぎているのではないか、というのが私見。

 アメリカが世界の指導者の地位を去った後のシナリオも想定して行動すべき。






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