2020年4月25日土曜日

集団免疫派



集団免疫派ともいうべきなのかなあ。これはこれで貴重。

1 According to data from the best-studied countries such as South Korea, Iceland, Germany and Denmark, the overall lethality of Covid19 is between 0.1% and 0.4% and thus up to twenty times lower than initially assumed by the WHO.


3 50% to 80% of test-positive individuals remain symptom-free. Even among the 70 to 79 year old persons about 60% remain symptom-free, many more show only mild symptoms.

4 The median age of the deceased in most countries (including Italy) is over 80 years and only about 1% of the deceased had no serious previous illnesses. The age and risk profile of deaths thus essentially corresponds to normal mortality. Up to 60% of all Covid19-related deaths have occurred in particularly vulnerable nursing homes.


5 Many media reports of young and healthy people dying from Covid19 have proven to be false upon closer inspection. Many of these people either did not die from Covid19 or they in fact had serious preconditions (such as undiagnosed leukaemia).

8 In countries such as Italy and Spain, and to some extent Great Britain and the US, a serious overload of hospitals, notably by the flu, is not unusual. In addition, up to 15% of doctors and nurses currently have to self-quarantine, even if they develop no symptoms.


11 The often shown exponential curves of “corona cases” are misleading, since the number of tests also increases exponentially. In most countries, the ratio of positive tests to total tests either remains constant between 5% to 25% or increases rather slowly.

18 Numerous internationally renowned experts from the fields of virology, immunology and epidemiology consider the measures taken to be counterproductive and recommend a rapid natural immunisation of the general population while protecting risk groups.

19 The number of people suffering from unemployment, psychological problems and domestic violence as a result of the measures taken has exploded in the US and worldwide. Several experts believe that the measures may claim more lives than the virus itself.

20 NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden warned that the corona crisis is used for the massive and permanent expansion of global surveillance. The renowned virologist Pablo Goldschmidt spoke of a “global media terror” and “totalitarian measures”. Leading British virologist Professor John Oxford spoke of a “media epidemic
”.


新コロの致死率は0.1%-0.4% 陽性の50-80%は症状なし 70-79歳の人でも60%は症状なし。死亡者の中央値は80歳
深刻な持病、既往症がなかったのはわずかに1% 若者の死でもよく吟味するとなんらかの病気を抱えていた。

病院の負担過重状態は、いまにはじまった話ではない。今回の場合、さらに、15%の医師、看護師は症状がなくても、自己隔離を強いられている。

指数関数的な急増といわれるが、検査も指数関数的に伸びているのであって、検査と陽性の比率は5%-25%で一定ないしは、緩やかな増加。

様々な社会的制限は逆効果であり、コロナ弱者を守りながら、急速な集団的自然免疫をすすめる専門家もたちもいる。

自粛政策によって、失業や精神的な問題、家庭内暴力が爆発的に急増しており、その被害のほうがウイルスより怖い、という人もいる。

地球規模の監視社会の構築拡大にコロナが使われている、と。

引用されているオックスフォードの先生も
Personally, I would say the best advice is to spend less time watching TV news which is sensational and not very good. Personally, I view this Covid outbreak as akin to a bad winter influenza epidemic. In this case we have had 8000 deaths this last year in the ‘at risk’ groups viz over 65% people with heart disease etc. I do not feel this current Covid will exceed this number. We are suffering from a media epidemic!

テレビはコロナを扇情的にあつかうから、あまりみないほうがいい、と。個人的にはコロナは冬のインフルエンザの酷いやつみたいなもんだと思っている。持病持ちの人など危険なグループはインフルエンザで8000人なくなっているが、今回のコロナでもこの数を超えないんではないか、と思っている、むしろ、報道による伝染病にやられているんじゃないか、と。

ーーーうーーん。

報道がセンセーショナルでドラマ化されている部分はあると思うし、政府による監視社会化への警戒も必要だと思う。
経済への影響も深刻

新コロの特質、深刻さについては・・・・・まだまだ判断留保だねええ、私としては。










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