Mearsheimer: ′The US won′t tolerate China as peer .
Mearsheimer concluded in 2001 that China's strategic goal was to become Asia's hegemon and that the United States would try to prevent that. His book, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, predicted many things we see today in US-China relations.
There's every reason to think that the US will be able to contain China for the foreseeable future.
Pakistan, North Korea, Cambodia, Laos and probably Myanmar will likely side with China. Japan, India, Singapore and Vietnam will be allied with the US.
But there are also fundamental differences. First, the initial Cold War took place in the wake of World War II, and it revolved around the German question. But you don't have a similar situation in Asia.
China is a fundamentally different adversary. It has over four times as many people, with a highly dynamic capitalist economy. Therefore, it has the potential to become much wealthier than the US. So, the US could end up opposing a country much larger than itself.
I'm slightly more pessimistic now about the possibility of an actual war between the US and China.
トランプ時代の記事であるが、米中戦争の危険はある、と。
議論のなかで、なぜか、韓国が入っていない。
ドイツ問題があるならコリアン問題があってもよさそうなもの。
そして、北朝鮮は中国につくことになっているが、韓国は米側につく同盟国としてあげられていない。
いずれにせよ、中韓の国力を削ぐことは急務なのかもしれないね。
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