台湾の有事は台湾の有事、日本は難民受け入れ準備を

 

中国、安倍氏の「日本有事」発言に「でたらめ」猛反発 

2021/12/ Say Goodbye to Taiwan Mini Teaser: Time is running out for the little island coveted by its gigantic, growing neighbor. by Author(s): John J. Mearsheimer

There are a number of problems with this form of conventional deterrence, which raise serious doubts about whether it can work for Taiwan over the long haul. For starters, the strategy depends on the United States fighting side by side with Taiwan. But it is difficult to imagine American policy makers purposely choosing to fight a war in which the U.S. military is not only going to lose, but is also going to pay a huge price in the process. It is not even clear that Taiwan would want to fight such a war, because it would be fought mainly on Taiwanese territory—not Chinese territory—and there would be death and destruction everywhere. And Taiwan would lose in the end anyway.

台湾有事でアメリカは戦わないし、通常兵器では台湾は中国に負ける。

アメリカが戦わない戦争に日本が戦うわけがない。口先だけ強気で言ってみせているだけ。

近いと言えども隣国は別の国。台湾有事は台湾有事。

 So where does this leave Taiwan? The nuclear option is not feasible, as neither China nor the United States would accept a nuclear-armed Taiwan

アメリカが台湾の肩を持ちたかったら、核武装させればよい。そうでなければ、やっても負ける。日本が巻き込まれるいわれはない。ただ、台湾は友好国。大量の難民受け入れの準備はしておくべき。難民受け入れして手助けするしかない。

　それと日本も独自に中国に対抗できるような自衛力をもたないとね。