2020年3月23日月曜日

A third of coronavirus cases may be ‘silent carriers’,






これか。
Scientists have been unable to agree on what role asymptomatic transmission plays in spreading the disease. A patient usually develops symptoms in five days, though the incubation period can be as long as three weeks in some rare cases.
感染して発症するまで5日、ただし、潜伏期間が3週間にも及ぶ場合もある、と。

K1とか宝塚も早ければ5日後にはなんかでてくるかもしれないわけだね。

もっとも、

The World Health Organisation classifies all people who test positive as confirmed cases regardless of whether they experience any symptoms. South Korea also does this. But the Chinese government changed its classification guidelines on February 7, counting only those patients with symptoms as confirmed cases. The United States, Britain and Italy simply do not test people without symptoms, apart from medical workers who have prolonged exposure to the virus


Based on their research, Nishiura put the proportion of asymptomatic Japanese patients evacuated from Wuhan, ground zero of the outbreak in China, at 30.8 per cent – similar to the classified Chinese government data.

Another useful point of reference is the data collected from the Diamond Princess cruise ship, which was quarantined for weeks in Yokohama, Japan. All of its passengers and crew were tested, with 712 people testing positive – 334 of whom were asymptomatic, according to official Japanese figures.


感染しても症状がでないものが、30% ダイアモンドプリンセスの場合では、46%もあるわけだね。。


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