武漢 コロナ致死率１．４％か

buveryさんがリツイート

#上昌広　がまた　うんこうましか　なことを言っている。https://t.co/fm44mXKsMN
中国　死亡数 3,245　患者数 80,928
死亡率は洋美ちゃんﾃｷﾅ計算では４％

ｳｴﾁｬﾏ　ﾃｷ計算では10％のようだ。
しかもアイスランドの総検体数7800陽性数330
おいおいおい？？？どういうプロットしてんﾈﾝ？ pic.twitter.com/oOOOXK1ozv

— 仲田洋美　がんと遺伝子の専門医 (@drhiromi) March 20, 2020

kazukazu88さんがリツイート

The death rate from the coronavirus was 1.4% in Wuhan as of the end of February, according to a new study in the Nature Medicine journal—lower than previous estimates of mortality rates of 5.8% in the first several weeks of the epidemic.@betswriteshttps://t.co/HzXllmttqw

— Jonathan Cheng (@JChengWSJ) March 20, 2020

有料だから他の記事をみると、

The probability of dying after developing coronavirus symptoms is 1.4% in Wuhan, China, new research suggests — far lower than initial estimates
Aylin Woodward 11 hours ago

A study published today in the journal Nature Medicine suggests that the chances a patient in Wuhan, China, would die after developing symptoms was 1.4% as of February 29.

This figure — what the authors call symptomatic case-fatality risk — is far lower than previous death-rate estimates for Wuhan, which ranged from 2% to 4.5%. That's because the researchers' case-fatality risk wasn't based solely on the proportion of deaths out of the total number of reported cases, which is how death rates are calculated. Instead, they attempted to incorporate estimations of unreported cases into their figures.

Coronavirus death rate in Wuhan is lower than previously thought
By Yasemin Saplakoglu - Staff Writer 12 hours ago

A new study finds that the death rate in Wuhan, where the coronavirus outbreak started, is about 1.4

"Our inferences were based on a variety of sources, and have a number of caveats ...but considering the totality of the findings they nevertheless indicate that COVID-19 transmission is difficult to control," the authors wrote. "We might expect at least half of the population to be infected, even with aggressive use of community mitigation measures."

The authors also re-iterated what's been echoing through the community: "Perhaps the most important target of mitigation measures would be to 'flatten out' the epidemic curve, reducing the peak demand on healthcare services and buying time for better treatment pathways to be developed," they wrote.

Nature Medicine テキには武漢で、コロナ症状がでて死に至る率は思っていたよりずっと低く１．４％ではないか、と。年齢があがるほど危険。感染を防ぐことは極めて困難で、どうやっても、人口の半分は感染してしまうのではないか、と。できることは、増加の山頂を後ろに低くずらしていって病院の負担を減らすことだ、みたいな・・・