The coronavirus can kill, but a global depression will, as well

当分は暗い見通ししかない。

Rising unemployment and social isolation looks set to impact our health in a number of different ways.

In Europe and the United States, suicide rates rise about 1% for every one percentage point increase in unemployment.

Already, there are reports that isolation measures are triggering more domestic violence in some areas. Prolonged school closings are preventing special needs children from receiving treatment and could presage a rise in dropouts and delinquency. Public health centers will lose funding, causing a decline in their services and the health of their communities. A surge in unemployment to 20% – a forecast now common in Western economies – could cause an additional 20,000 suicides in Europe and the United States among those out of work or entering a near-empty job market.

The coronavirus can kill, he said, but a global depression will, as well. Bhattacharya is among those urging government leaders to carefully consider the complete shutdown of businesses and schools.

“Depressions are deadly for people, poor people especially,” he said.

長期自粛→長期的な大量な失業率

失業率が上昇すると自殺率も上昇
外出自粛によるDVの増加
学校閉鎖で、退学する生徒、生徒の不良化の増加
特殊学級児童の教育の劣化
税の減収による公衆衛生の資金不足による慢性病、予防政策の劣化
長期の失業による平均寿命の短縮化
若者の就職氷河期

Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, who researches health policy at Stanford University, said he worries governments worldwide have not yet fully considered the long term health impacts of the impending economic calamity. The coronavirus can kill, he said, but a global depression will, as well. Bhattacharya is among those urging government leaders to carefully consider the complete shutdown of businesses and schools.

“Depressions are deadly for people, poor people especially,” he said.

コロナウイルスで人は死ぬが、世界恐慌でも人は死ぬ。企業や学校の完全閉鎖について政府は警戒して吟味したほうがいい、恐慌というは命に関わるものであるが、特に貧困層に致命的なのだ、と。