オミクロンでも後遺症は軽くない、去年の1月より死者数は減るかもしれないが入院する人は去年以上に増加する、追加接種で重症化防げる

 

5) Theres also little to no evidence that #Omicron is milder for #LongCovid… thus, take it seriously, please! 👇 https://t.co/FTTbdA0oJq

— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) January 2, 2022

kazukazu88 Retweeted

The new @UKHSA report today strongly reinforces the benefit of the 3rd shot (booster) vs Omicron for reducing hospitalization: 88% https://t.co/gVl5c5o9nl (this is the 1st time we've seen such VE data for booster vs severe disease) pic.twitter.com/8g2cGcl4eU

— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) December 31, 2021

These numbers put us firmly in between the Warwick "50% to 80% less severe" scenarios.

Under current Plan B measures, projections are for hospital admissions to exceed last Jan peak - and potentially quite.a bit higher. Also that it's too late now to prevent those outcomes BUT https://t.co/M3u2n26uKN

— Prof. Christina Pagel (@chrischirp) December 31, 2021

And yes - cases ARE feeding into rapid rises in hospital admissions. I said we should expect increases after Xmas and that is what we are seeing.

Admissions are rising in *all* age groups.

Again, these admissions are from infections pre-xmas & just after Omicron dominant 6/18 pic.twitter.com/7iv3MF427i

— Prof. Christina Pagel (@chrischirp) December 30, 2021

Warwick (also feeding into SAGE) published their projections today over a range of scenarios. I think we are in their "Omicron 80% less severe than Delta & Plan B only" scenario.

This gives peak hospital admissions *higher* than last January (but with fewer deaths). 10/18 pic.twitter.com/ak82z6EKpa

— Prof. Christina Pagel (@chrischirp) December 30, 2021

 

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