米 オミクロン入院者数がデルタ入院者数を超す

 kazukazu88 Retweeted

Virus cases have hit new highs in the U.S.
Hospitalizations topped the height of the Delta wave.
Deaths are starting to rise.

If the Omicron variant is less severe overall, it can be hard to understand the trends. Here’s how to think about the data now. https://t.co/GroeWzHhWi

— The New York Times (@nytimes) January 8, 2022

 “We have a less severe variant, plus many are vaccinated, but evidence suggests the vaccines are not as good at preventing infection with Omicron as they were against Delta.”

As high as the case counts are in many places, they are most certainly undercounted right now, as many Omicron infections are asymptomatic or mild and people may not know to test. 

The sharp rise in cases in many states could be followed by sharp falls, as observed in South Africa, but experts caution that the sheer volume of cases could still lead to significant numbers of extremely sick people, even from a variant that overall gives people less severe disease.

What is clear is that the number of people hospitalized with Covid nationwide has already surpassed the peak of the Delta-led wave and is still rising steeply.

Hospitals, emergency rooms, urgent care centers and doctors’ offices are overburdened and understaffed across the country. 

Deaths can generally be predicted by looking at hospitalizations and counting backward by three weeks, suggesting that deaths will almost double in the next three weeks, said Dr. David Dowdy, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. But it's still possible that deaths will not rise as sharply as cases and hospitalizations have, he added.

“This linkage between hospitalizations and deaths is being broken as well now, as more people are getting hospitalized for milder illness,” Dr. Dowdy said. “So I actually anticipate that deaths will not reach quite that level.”

　オミクロンは、デルタより軽症で死亡率もデルタより低いだろうが、割合は低くても感染者の中には重症になるものもいるし、感染者数がマンモス増えれば、それなりに重症者数も増える。同様に、デルタほどではないにせよ、死者数もこれから伸びるだろう、と。

　オミクロン入院者数はデルタ入院者数をすでに凌駕しており、医療体制を逼迫している、と。

kazukazu88 Retweeted

Omicron is re-scaling Y axes everywhere, but the Australian epidemic curve is really something. pic.twitter.com/4MVkrS7ctO

— Jeffrey Barrett (@jcbarret) January 8, 2022

うひょひょ。