”What he could do is to take the eastern part of Ukraine” ロシア そろそろ？

 

 Russia continues troop escalation at Ukraine border, US say - BBC News  

The rough rule of thumb in  warfare is if you're an attacker you need three to one advantage right now Russians are not even at  parity

 What he could do is to take the eastern part of Ukraine ....he would take the Dnieper river...and control all of the trade going into the Black Sea and he could take out some of....some of the gas pipelines so he could control this country just economically just by taking part of east Ukraine. 

  ドニエプル川

ドニエプル川（ドニエプルがわ、ウクライナ語: Дніпроドニプロー；ベラルーシ語: Дняпроドニャプロー；ロシア語: Днепрドニェープル）は、ロシアから始まって、ベラルーシを経てウクライナに流れ黒海に注ぐ川である。

　ウクライナのキエフ攻略するにはロシアにとって不利すぎるし、兵力も足りない。

　やるとすれば、親露派のいるウクライナ東部を攻撃して ドニエプル川を抑え黒海に通じる貿易、およびパイプラインを支配することでウクライナを経済的に締め上げることか、と。

更新

 

U.S. says Russia inching troops closer to Ukraine, stocking up on blood supplies https://t.co/qO02UbQkar オースティン国防長官。ロシアは輸血用血液を備蓄し、軍隊をウクライナ国境に近付け、多数の戦闘機を飛ばしているとのこと。ロシアの主張する撤退は嘘である。

— JSF (@rockfish31) February 17, 2022

"I was a soldier myself not that long ago. I know firsthand that you don't do these sorts of things for no reason," said Austin, a retired Army general. "And you certainly don't do them if you're getting ready to pack up and go home."

"We see them fly in more combat and support aircraft. We see them sharpen their readiness in the Black Sea," Austin said. "We even see them stocking up their blood supplies."

Russian-backed rebels and Ukrainian forces traded accusations on Thursday of firing shells across the ceasefire line in eastern Ukraine, and Kyiv said the incidents looked like a "provocation" at a time when Russia has troops massed on the frontier.

 

JSF Retweeted

JUST IN: "The evidence on the ground is that Russia is moving toward an imminent invasion. This is a crucial moment," US Ambassador to the UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield tells reporters.

— Peter Alexander (@PeterAlexander) February 17, 2022

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suzuky Retweeted

つい先ほどのロシア→米国への回答文書の内容が公表された

ミンスク合意遵守とかとウクライナからの軍事顧問団の引き上げ云々はともかく、中欧東欧とバルト諸国からの米軍撤退とか、ここまでギリギリになっても受け入れられるはずのない要求をするっていうことは、もうつまりそういうことなんですね。 https://t.co/aLdx4kNCvv

— てりやき (@izumokokuzo) February 17, 2022

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In Russia the message is we have to defend Russian speakers in Ukraine: they are at risk of genocide .

口実だしてきた。