2022年2月28日月曜日

"Nuclear allies are likely to become more independent of their patrons "

 

ニュークリア・シェアリング 出典: フリー百科事典
現在ニュークリアシェアリングを受けている国はベルギー・ドイツ・イタリア・オランダ・トルコである
1)ドイツイタリアトルコも共有しているわけで、別に経済制裁されないんじゃない? 


とすれば、

 2)別に要らないんじゃない?

仮に戦略核開発して制裁があったとしても

Sanctioning Country/Entity (s)PeriodSummary
Canada Canada1974Following 1974 nuclear tests Canada sanctioned nuclear expertise and equipment support.[5]
Multiple countriesUnited States United States1998–1999US imposes sanctions as required by law following nuclear tests.[6] Sanctions imposed by the United States were weakened through exceptions and lifted within a year.[7]
Japan Japan1998–2001Sanctions including the stoppage of loan aid.[8][9][10]
~12 countriesAround 14 countries adopted some form of individual sanction or another following the 1998 nuclear tests with marginal effect.[11][7] Collective sanctions could not gather the required support.[12]
United States United States1992–2011ISRO sanctioned for sections of its space program.[13][14]
Pakistan Pakistan2019–Sanctions such as closure of airspace for all Indians.[15]
なんとかしのいでいけるかもよ?・・・・そこらへん議論を聞きたいところ。

トランプが日本も核武装しろ、とか言った時「はい」って言っておけばよかったんだよなああ。


Reducing military commitments and letting allies build their own nuclear weapons might save money for the United States. But international relations scholarship suggests that allied proliferation would have broader negative repercussions. Among these would be declining U.S. influence. When nations gain their own military capabilities, they rely less on their allies and become less subject to their sway. And that can undermine a senior partner’s ability to hold its junior allies back from risky military actions.


Recent nonproliferation research underscores this proposition. Mark Bell shows that nuclear allies are likely to become more independent of their patrons and in some cases can develop more assertive foreign policies. And Francis Gavin and Matthew Kroenig show that the fear of declining influence was one reason why most American administrations vigorously opposed the spread of nuclear weapons.


アメリカ が日本などに核武装させない理由の一つはアメリカの影響力が減って、日本がアメリカから独立した意思決定ができるようになってしまうからなわけだね。

核武装についていろいろ欠点があるなら、アメリカをはじめ核武装国がまっさきに放棄すればいいけど、他国を放棄させても自国は絶対放棄しないんだよねええ。WapoやNYTなどリベラル紙もその点は産経新聞なんだよねえええ。

(核武装、核武装の優位)



 


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