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INTERVIEW/ John Mearsheimer: U.S.-China rift runs real risk of escalating into a nuclear war By KENJI MINEMURA/ Senior Staff Writer August 17, 2020 a台湾有事、日米首脳会談の議題に 中国ミサイルに懸念共有 https://t.co/WMjFnH7ctk @Sankei_newsより
— 石平太郎 (@liyonyon) March 24, 2021
The United States would like to control 5G. The United States would like to remain on the cutting edge of all the modern sophisticated technologies of the day and they view the Chinese as a threat in that regard. And that tells you that not only are you getting military competition, but you are also getting economic competition.I think a number of things have to happen here. First of all, the Japanese are going to have to spend much more money on defense. Secondly, they're going to have to work much more closely with the United States. It's actually very important that the two sides work together. And I think the Japanese are going to have to deploy INF or intermediate-range missiles of their own, not nuclear. I think at this point in time, the Japanese can rely on the United States for nuclear deterrence.
Mini Teaser: Time is running out for the little island coveted by its gigantic, growing neighbor.
by Author(s): John J. Mearsheimer
2014年の論文だと、台湾はもう手遅れだね。
In the face of this grim future, Taiwan has three options. First, it can develop its own nuclear deterrent. Nuclear weapons are the ultimate deterrent, and there is no question that a Taiwanese nuclear arsenal would markedly reduce the likelihood of a Chinese attack against Taiwan.
Taiwan pursued this option in the 1970s, when it feared American abandonment in the wake of the Vietnam War. The United States, however, stopped Taiwan’s nuclear-weapons program in its tracks. And then Taiwan tried to develop a bomb secretly in the 1980s, but again the United States found out and forced Taipei to shut the program down. It is unfortunate for Taiwan that it failed to build a bomb, because its prospects for maintaining its independence would be much improved if it had its own nuclear arsenal.
原爆つくっておけば独立できたかもしれないものを、アメリカの言う事聞いて原爆開発をやめさせられて。それでも、結局アメリカに見捨てられるわけだね。
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