スエーデンのレイプ

 

２０００年代にスウェーデンで強姦(下のオレンジ)が激増したのは事実で、現在半分は移民によるのも事実だけれど、日本の強姦は１０万当たり１程度で、移民を大量に入れる前から、スウェーデンは日本の２５倍程度の強姦率。強姦以外の性犯罪はもう処理できない位に爆発している。 pic.twitter.com/RwvSE7Vuof

— buvery (@buvery) March 2, 2021

パラパラっとググると、 

Sweden reports a rise in sex offences against teen girls The number of sex attacks against girls aged 15 to 17 has rapidly increased in Sweden, with many of the cases involving migrants and asylum seeker perpetrators January 22, 2020

Sweden's rape statistics differ drastically from other regions of Europe that have refused to take in migrants, with 73 per 100,000 citizens reporting a case of rape in 2017, representing a 24 percent increase in the last decade.

スエーデンの強姦率は移民を受け入れない国より圧倒的に多い、という記事もあることにはあるが・・・

This cover-up of sex assaults in Sweden is a gift for xenophobes
Andrew Brown

In any case, the police do not record the ethnicity of either criminals or victims, and the press is extremely constrained over reporting identifying details about either the victims or the perpetrators of crimes.

So it is impossible either to prove or to disprove, from official statistics, the nationalist claim that the rapists are disproportionately young male migrants. 

レイプの定義が拡張し、強姦事件の数え方も 変化しているし、通報しやすくなった、というのも強姦率が上がった主な原因だろう、と。強姦の加害者や被害者の人種民族に関する公式の記録がないので、移民のせいで強姦率が上がったと結論付けることはできない、と。

New crime study: Rise in Sweden’s rape stats can’t be tied to refugee influx

To place the blame for the entirety of the increases seen in the rape statistics between 2015 and 2016, one would have to assume that asylum seekers are 83 times more likely to commit crimes than others. 

 

“Such a high over-risk does not seem likely,” the report concludes.

　仮に移民のせいで強姦が増えたとすれば、人口比で考えると、移民は原住民より８３倍も強姦する率がたかくなければならないが、それはいくらなんでも無茶な話だろう、と。

　最近でもソマリア出身の女性で移民男性は女性蔑視的だから性犯罪が増加しているという主張の本が出版されたが、

Prey: Immigration, Islam and the Erosion of Women’s Rights by Ayaan Hirsi Ali review

 According to WHO, most sexual violence is carried out by an intimate partner, not a stranger. This violence has been greatly exacerbated during lockdown

Nonetheless, Hirsi Ali insists there a causal relationship between increased migration and increased sexual violence. To show this, she relies on statistics she herself admits are ‘fraught with difficulty’ whilst also acknowledging that police in most European countries, including the UK, do not record perpetrator migration status or religion.

　統計ででていないものから結論をだしており、議論が妥当とはいえない・・・・みたいな感じかなあ。

　・・・よそ者、異端者を性犯罪者として表象する、というのは、昔から、よそ者、異端者を排除する手口の典型ではある。