How Sweden’s “herd immunity” strategy backfired - @SavLocal on why support for the government is fraying. https://t.co/yxpLZWVWxX pic.twitter.com/wNhffp9IXO
— George Eaton (@georgeeaton) June 17, 2020
But as a whole, Sweden has fared worse than most countries. Moreover, as death rates have plunged in countries that imposed lockdowns, Sweden has often in recent weeks been the country with the highest per capita daily death toll. There is now fear that Swedes might be excluded as pan-European travel returns: Norway, Denmark and the Netherlands have told Swedish tourists they are not welcome, even as they open their borders to others.
The refusal to lock down has not even spared Sweden’s export-oriented economy. With much of the world shut down, demand for exports has fallen and supply chains have been disrupted. Truck maker Scania suspended production in mid-March before restarting at far lower levels at the end of April.
Sweden’s central bank, the Riksbank, has warned that in a worse-case scenario, GDP this year could fall by as much as 10 per cent. In April’s budget, the government suggested unemployment would rise from 7 per cent last year to 9 per cent this year, or 13.5 per cent at worst.
And despite the grim death toll, there are few signs that herd immunity is within reach. A study released on 20 May showed only around 7 per cent of people in Stockholm had developed antibodies by early April, far from the 60 per cent thought necessary to provide protection.
規制が緩やかなスエーデン コロナ死亡率も高く、経済もガタガタ、しかも、集団免疫に達するのはまだまだだ、と。
(ただ、集団免疫に達するには60%の人口が免疫を得ている必要がある、と見ている・・・たぶん、そこまでは要らない)
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