Establish a Humanitarian Safe Zone

元駐ロ大使のマクフォールに質問するジョー・スカーボロー。彼の「何かできないか」という苛立たしげな質問を聞くたびにアメリカが余計なことして第三次世界大戦を起こしそうで怖くなる。https://t.co/uBpORAvnPx

— OKUYAMA Masashi ┃奥山真司 (@masatheman) March 11, 2022

シリアで１万人死んで 「何かできないか」といっても「むずかしい」２万人死んで「何かできないか」といっても「むずかしい」と。５０万人死んでようやく保護区が設置された、と。

 Put US Boots in Ukraine to Defend a UN-Approved Security Zone

It worked in Syria.

Such a Zone would allow Ukrainian government and non-governmental organizations, partnered with the international community, to establish camps for internally displaced persons fleeing the fighting without leaving Ukraine, dramatically reducing costs of sustaining and resettling refugees in third countries.

What countries will answer the UN General Assembly’s call to send troops to monitor the Zone’s borders and defend it if attacked? (Given Russian fears, NATO as an institution must stay out of this.) Our experience with past conflicts indicates that governments will deploy forces only if the Security Council itself has passed a resolution (again, unlikely because of Russia’s veto), or if the United States sends its own troops. For this idea to succeed, then, the President would have to reverse, to a limited degree, his “no U.S. boots-in-Ukraine” position, but for good reasons. 

ウクライナ内部で安全保護区を設置する場合、その保護区を誰が守るのか、という問題が生じる。米軍がいくしかないのか、行っても紛争が激化しないかどうかだね。