2022年3月4日金曜日

Realism misses the power value of norms.

4/ The chat also shows realism's political hollowness. Mearsh. talks as if US govts are geostrategic calculation machines (the rationalist black-boxing of realism) which could write off Ukraine, ignoring the moral weight of a coerced people + political price for appeasement

9/ That crude remark reflects how badly realism misses the power value of norms. 


戦略的観点と倫理的観点・・・ミアシャイマー先生は戦略的観点がつねに優先。しかし、倫理的観点が優先することもあるし、総合衡 量しなくちゃいけないのでは、というわけだけね。以前わたしも指摘した。


14/ He wraps himself around a tree admitting some East European nations are safer b/o NATO enlargement, yet claiming it had no value. I agree it went too far but it's a close call: It *eases* our fears today to have Poland, Baltics in NATO b/c we know Russia can't go there

東方拡大しすぎた、とは思っているわけですね。

 15/ When asked for policies, Mearsh. says: "We should be pivoting out of Europe to deal with China in a laser-like fashion, number one." Again the allergy to political considerations: This is 100% absolutely not in the cards for the foreseeable future

中国への集中は当分なさそうですね。 

18/ But his variety of offensive realism is an incredibly narrow, even hollow portrait of behavior which is wrong more often than right. This latest interview shows again just how poor a tool it is for people trying to understand the real world rather than the theoretical one

一つのモデルだから単純化はしている。だから、現実を複雑なひだを拾いきれていない。しかし、単純だからわかりやすく、そこが魅力でもある。 

 戦略的観点からベストであっても、いまさら、プーチンに謝って、NATO加入はしません、非武装中立します・・とは言えないだろう・・・そういった現実を無視してしまう、という欠点はある。


2022年3月3日木曜日

.”when push comes to shove, strategic considerations overwhelm moral considerations. ”


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