E2DE

 

 

  Escalate To De-Escalate: Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Strategy By Joshua Ball Last updated Mar 7, 2022 

In 2000, Russia released an updated military doctrine in which it outlined the concept of de-escalation through a limited nuclear strike. This idea put forth the notion that if Russia were subjected to a major non-nuclear assault that exceeded its capacity for conventional defense, it would “de-escalate” the conflict by launching a limited—or tactical—nuclear strike. 

  Escalate to De-escalate By Mark B. Schneider February 2017

In June 2015, U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Work and then-Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral James Winnefeld observed, “Russian military doctrine includes what some have called an ‘escalate to de-escalate’ strategy—a strategy that purportedly seeks to de-escalate a conventional conflict through coercive threats, including limited nuclear use.” Work and Winnefeld categorized this strategy as “playing with fire.”6 

  Nuclear alert makes Ukraine worst standoff since Cuban missile crisis Vladimir Putin appears to embrace risky 'escalate to de-escalate' planning Russian troops train with a mobile ICBM launcher. © TASS/Kyodo TETSURO KOSAKA, Nikkei senior staff writer March 1, 2022 10:48 JS 

 The use of nuclear weapons became a global taboo after Hiroshima and Nagasaki for their sheer destructive potential. The idea that Russia could use nuclear weapons with the ultimate goal of ending a conflict -- dubbed the "escalate to de-escalate" (E2DE) strategy -- first began gaining ground in U.S. and European security and military circles in the 2010s.

  Moscow "mistakenly assesses that the threat of nuclear escalation or actual first use of nuclear weapons would serve to 'de-escalate' a conflict on terms favorable to Russia,"

 the U.S. Department of Defense wrote in its 2018 Nuclear Posture Review. Russia essentially acknowledged this strategy in a 2020 document outlining its nuclear deterrence policy. 

Russia's nuclear arms are intended not only to defend its sovereignty and territorial integrity, but also to prevent the escalation of military conflicts, it said

The document also included new scenarios allowing Russia to use nuclear weapons -- including when it has solid evidence of an enemy missile launch, whether or not the missile had already hit Russian territory. Given false Russian claims of hostilities by Ukraine, this shift increases the chances of a preemptive nuclear weapons use by the country.

　核兵器使えば、ロシアに有利に戦争が終結できるだろう、ということで、使用要件は年代によって変わってきているあるが、直近だと、ロシア本土に向けてミサイル発射があったとする確たる証拠がある場合には核攻撃する、と。ロシアはなくてもあったと言いはるので先制攻撃で核攻撃をつかう危険さえある、と。