2022年4月30日土曜日

”it is hard not to conclude that the west is engaged in a proxy fight”

 

 

 ルトワックの月刊Hanada連載が、ヤバい!~NATOは麻薬!?ウクライナ侵攻の責任はドイツ!?ロシアは既に・・・|奥山真司の地政学「アメリカ通信」 ロシアの北朝鮮化

   

 Is Transnistria Putin's Next Target? - TLDR News

モルドバ🇲🇩の併合か、モルドバ東部の帯地帯の併合で、お茶を濁すのかも知れません。

黒木 昭弘
Takumi Shibata さん、なるほどその手もあったか!

Takumi Shibata
黒木 昭弘 ロシア支配下のモルドバ東部のトランズニストリアが総動員体制へ。モルドバ危し。

Takumi Shibata
Hiroko Kharchenko モルドバ🇲🇩には軍隊が無いに等しいのです。

President of Moldova says they have no defenses for the country. Moldova is completely at the mercy of Russia.

"For 30 years, the Moldovan army has been left without equipment, without military equipment and combat-ready means. We are now aware of the consequences,” Sandu said.


 Takumi Shibata

加藤 真一 英国の情報部は、①ロシアはクリミアに戦力を集めており、②トランスニストリアに上陸しそうだと見ています。問題はウクライナの領土の外でのロシア支配下の土地での上陸だと

The UK sent an intelligence report to Ukraine that Russia is preparing a landing in Transnistria if an escalation begins. Additional forces of the Russian army are being transferred to Crimea, and the Black Sea Fleet is preparing an operation in the Bessarabia region.

可能性は皆無ではないわけだね。 





The real reason was spelled out by senior U.S. officials: We want to weaken Russia.

“We want to see Russia weakened to the degree that it can’t do the kinds of things that it has done in invading Ukraine,” U.S. Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin said this week.


In effect, the U.S. is betting that history will repeat itself. In 1979, the former Soviet Union allowed itself to be drawn into Afghanistan’s civil and religious wars — conflicts that ended up miring its armies in a punishing stalemate.

That’s what is going on now in Ukraine. The U.S and NATO are providing Ukraine with enough weaponry to weaken Russian invaders, but not enough to definitively defeat them.


Ukraine: Boris Johnson rejects 'NATO proxy war' allegations, as Russia cuts gas supplies Access to the commentsCOMMENTS

By Euronews  with AP, AFP  •   27/04/2022


ロシア側がNATOが代理戦争している、と主張しているのに対して、イギリスのジョンソン首相は否定。 


 
  Is the U.S. Treating the Ukraine Conflict as a Proxy War Against Russia? 70,779 回視聴2022/04/29
ANATOL LIEVEN: Well, the reason I wrote the piece was in response to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin’s statement that U.S. strategy is now to weaken Russia through the war in Ukraine. And, you know, basically, that is what a proxy war is, you know, the U.S. trying to use the war in Ukraine not just to defend Ukraine, but for a wider strategic objective

ウクライナ防衛以上のためにウクライナ戦争をしているとすれば、それは代理戦争だ、と。


NERMEEN SHAIKH: Anatol, the question is whether the Americans think that a government apart from Putin’s might be willing to relinquish areas, including Crimea.


ANATOL LIEVEN: Well, if they think that, they are totally wrong. If you look at Russian public opinion, if you look at the statements of basically the whole of the Russian political establishment, including, by the way, Alexei Navalny, the leader of the Russian opposition, they all now regard Crimea as part of Russian national territory. And this, by the way, does seem to be supported by a very large majority of the population of Crimea, which is heavily ethnic Russian. So, no, I mean, to bring about a Russian surrender of Crimea, you would have to basically destroy the Russian state. Now, at that point, the Russian threats of using nuclear missiles begin to look a little less like bluster and a little more like something that could actually happen.

クリミアはすでにロシアだ、というのは、国民や野党まで支持しており、クリミア奪回するとすれば、ロシアを破壊せねばならず、ロシアが核兵器を使う危険は高まる、と。 

The Guradian

Western war aims are growing. But how much more will Nato commit to Ukraine?

Analysis: While the west toughens its stance over Putin’s invasion, it is rejecting his foreign minister’s claim that Nato is in a proxy war with Russia


Wed 27 Apr 2022 20.19 BS


On Monday, Sergei Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister, said that Nato was “in essence … engaged in a war with Russia through a proxy and is arming that proxy” in an interview where he also warned of the risks of a third world war and even nuclear conflict.


Nato is not at war with Russia, but it is hard not to conclude that the west is engaged in a proxy fight because of the ongoing arms supply. Nevertheless, western officials reject Lavrov’s proxy war description, because they do not want to lend legitimacy to any Russian reprisals beyond

ロシア側は代理戦争とみている。NATOがこれだけ武器提供していれば、代理戦争に違いないのだが、ロシアから報復を受けたくないので西側高官たちはそれを認めたがらない、と。 

Slate

 Everyone Is Starting to Admit Something Frightening About Ukraine

The conflict has become a proxy war between NATO and Russia, with more risks for everyone involved.

BY FRED KAPLAN

APRIL 29, 202212:06 PM


 The war between Russia and Ukraine is swiftly evolving into a war between Russia and NATO. In one respect, this is good: It gives Ukraine a higher chance of repelling Moscow’s invasion and even winning. In another respect, it is risky: The wider the war spreads, and the more Russia seems to be losing, the more compelled Vladimir Putin may feel to lash out with extreme violence.

代理戦争の様相を呈してきた。ウクライナにとっては朗報であるが、他方、ロシアが過激な手段を選ぶ危険も高まっている、と。 


ちなみに、

Vice は

 

 On the Frontlines of Ukraine's Proxy War Between the West and Russia 2,856,542 回視聴2016/10/06

The West has used everything from signals intelligence operations, espionage, fighter jet saber-rattling, and diplomatic standoffs to stem the rise of Russian influence around the world. These efforts are coming to a dangerous head in Ukraine — a classic Eastern Bloc proxy state — where the presence of NATO troops is driving tensions to Cold War-era levels.
   

2016年のドンバスでの紛争のときから代理戦争という言葉を使っています。ロシアの世界での影響力をそぐために、西側が武器を提供し、戦闘員を訓練し、戦闘計画をたてているからであります。

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