.” if there's a nuclear use, I think President Biden will then enter the war directly ”

 池田信夫 Retweeted

J. ミアシャイマー氏：バイデン政権の政策は、露の生き残りを脅かし、プーチンがウに戦術核を使用すり可能性を高める愚かな行為だと批判。S. ウォルト氏とほぼ同じ分析ですね。
U.S. shifts goals on war in Ukraine amid concerns over Russia’s nuclear capabilities https://t.co/pVBYSD80hs

— 野口和彦（Kazuhiko Noguchi） (@kazzubc) May 7, 2022

John Mearsheimer:

I think, Judy, this policy that the Biden administration is following is remarkably dangerous and foolish.

We know that the one circumstance in which a great power is likely to use nuclear weapons is when its survival is threatened, when it thinks a decisive defeat is being inflicted on it.

And what the Biden administration is bent on doing is inflicting a decisive defeat on Russia. We are threatening its survival. We are presenting the Russians with an existential threat. And this, again, is the one circumstance where they might use nuclear weapons.

Well, I think it's very important to understand that, if he were to use nuclear weapons, he would use them, in all likelihood, in Western Ukraine.

Evelyn Farkas:

But what I do think is that, if there's a nuclear use, if the nuclear taboo comes off, if nuclear weapons are used for the first time since World War II — and Vladimir Putin may well do that if he thinks we won't respond — I think President Biden will then enter the war directly

露を追い詰めれば、露は核兵器を使い、露が核兵器を使えば、アメリカは直接参戦するだろう、と。