7/ Given these challenges, if CCP relaxes ZC policy too quickly, there is high risk China will see high infection/death rates. But if China continues its draconian ZC measures, the anger, frustration & resentment will continue to grow leading to higher levels of social unrest.
— Paul T. Haenle (@paulhaenle) November 28, 2022
Unclear to me in current moment. How this plays out over the next few days will be crucial
But, if we assume no elite backers, the most likely scenario I can see is that the protests fizzle out (as most such movements do in most countries). Having erupted spontaneously in a short period, they will fade away without reaching any climax or denouement.
— William Hurst (@wjhurst) November 27, 2022
18/22
But, if we assume no elite backers, the most likely scenario I can see is that the protests fizzle out (as most such movements do in most countries). Having erupted spontaneously in a short period, they will fade away without reaching any climax or denouement.
A second possibility is some form of comprehensive & decisive repression. This could take the form of a coordinated and possibly quite violent crackdown (as in 1989) or it could be slower-motion and at least somewhat less bloody (as in HK in 2019-2020).
A third and much less likely option would be concessions or systemic change. This could range from a relaxation of some #ZeroCovid measures to genuine political opening of some sort. I very much do not think this is in the cards, and would peg probability as extremely low.
要するに、どうなるかまだ何も言えないな。
In victory or defeat, there is always respect.
— FIFA.com (@FIFAcom) November 27, 2022
Thank you for helping to #SaveThePlanet, Japan fans! pic.twitter.com/FBWpOvtog2
Le bon exemple ♻️
— Equipe de France ⭐⭐ (@equipedefrance) November 27, 2022
Nos supporters français ont nettoyé leur tribune avant de partir du stade hier 🙌#FiersdetreBleus pic.twitter.com/mwgrBuRkh6
Our French fans cleaned their stand before leaving the stadium yesterday #FiersdetreBleus 🙌 pic.twitter.com/mwgrBuRkh6
フランスもお掃除を見習ったわけだね。
頭を下げるのも掃除好きも、そして、ちんこが小さくてもいいが、言うべきことはちゃんと言ってやらないといかんな。アインシュタイン曰く「日本人は礼儀正しいし指示に忠実に従い仕事をこなす。ただ世界をリードする資質に欠ける。中国人と対照的」
— H.S. Kim (@xcvbnm67890) November 28, 2022
日本人の頭を下げる・掃除好き等に欧米白人は優越感を感じるので日本人は好かれる。中国人は従わないので好かれないがリスペクトされる。 https://t.co/tt03ITxUtN
自己責任で接種するのはいいが、私は「ワクチンでコロナ死者が減った」効果を否定しているのではない。今年2〜3月と8〜9月に「コロナ以外の死者が増えた」効果が、それより多い可能性がある。
— 池田信夫 (@ikedanob) November 28, 2022
その原因がワクチンかどうかは何ともいえないが、これは費用対効果の問題。年齢別のリスクを明示し、自己責任で接種すべきだ。 https://t.co/lqTvNBKUNi
Dr. Fauci
So let’s just talk very briefly about what we know about the vaccines, because we want to make our decisions really based on facts, evidence, and data.
Are the vaccines safe? That keeps coming up. The answer is now: Overwhelmingly, it should be off the table. There have been 13 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine that have been distributed worldwide, hundreds of millions in the United States. And there’s robust safety monitoring systems that are in place. And clearly, an extensive body of information clearly indicates that they’re safe.
Next: Are they effective? And I believe you are all aware of this. If you look at the striking data, overwhelmingly show the effectiveness of vaccines, particularly in preventing severe illness and deaths.
And recent data that has come out indicate that if, in fact, you are vaccinated and boosted, compared to an unvaccinated person, there’s a 14 times lower risk of dying in the most recent BA.4/5 era compared to unvaccinated and at least a 3 times lower risk of testing positive compared to the unvaccinated individuals.・・・
So, we know it’s safe. We know that it is effective. So, my message and my final message — may be the final message I give you from this podium — is that: Please, for your own safety, for that of your family, get your updated COVID-19 shot as soon as you’re eligible to protect yourself, your family, and your community. ・・・・
DR. JHA
Because here’s what we know: If folks get their updated vaccines and they get treated if they have a breakthrough infection, we can prevent essentially every COVID death in America.
Some pediatric wards are “at the point of almost being overwhelmed” with RSV cases while Americans “have a long way to go” to optimize protection against COVID—Dr. Fauci with @margbrennan on @FaceTheNation.https://t.co/qTm1sUHqMa
— CBS News PR (@CBSNewsPress) November 28, 2022
DR. FAUCI: I think it's a combination of an expansion and an amplification of the anti-science, anti-vax. There is something I've never seen in my 54 years in medicine at the NIH, is that the acceptance or not of a life-saving intervention is steered very heavily by your political ideology. I mean, why would you ever want to see that red states are undervaccinated and blue states are pretty well vaccinated and there are more deaths among red state Republicans than there are among blue states Democrat? Merely because of the fact that there is less vaccination.
やはり権威ある専門家のデータに基づく最新のワクチン接種推奨が一番参考になるな。
中国、大規模な反中共デモ(白紙革命)で一気に不穏な空気にhttps://t.co/xodl70jh64
— 全力2階建 (@kabumatome) November 28, 2022
がんばれ、がんばれ!【ことばの #ヤングケアラー】
— NHK@首都圏 (@nhk_shutoken) November 27, 2022
パキスタンから群馬に来た彼は、当時9歳。
両親は、日本語を話せず、読み書きもできませんでした。
小学校で日本語を学んでいた彼が、ことばの面で一家を支えてきました。https://t.co/hnVqnTIAla
Anger at western hectoring of World Cup host Qatar has fostered a rare sense of solidarity among Arab states https://t.co/wde3d8sqri
— Financial Times (@FinancialTimes) November 28, 2022
“We don’t have as much sexual & political freedom as you do, don’t claim to be democratic, but we are stable prosperous monarchies [that] organise world class events, compete with the best & have the best of everything — so eat your heart out neocolonialists, orientalists & western hypocrites,” Dubai-based political science professor Abdulkhaleq Abdulla wrote on Twitter.
イエジー・スコリモフスキ「妻と一緒に4本。映画の伝統的なリニアな語りにうんざりしてきた。物語はAからZに進み、第1幕でキャラを紹介し、葛藤を用意して、80分のところにプロットポイント。同じ映画ばかり、似たキャラばかり。退屈。『イレブン・ミニッツ』でも試みたが」https://t.co/qRMOyoAAum
— 鶴原顕央 (@tsuruhara) November 27, 2022
Follows a donkey who encounters on his journeys good and bad people, experiences joy and pain, exploring a vision of modern Europe through his eyes
どうかな?
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