2023年8月22日火曜日

”undocumented immigrants have substantially lower crime rates than native-born citizens and legal immigrants across a range of felony offenses.”

スエーデンのレイプのケースの続き


ウィキにによると

Birthplace of perpetrators

In 1994, of the 314 men arrested for rape, 79% were born in Europe, 21% were born outside of Europe; 50% were foreigners.[32]

1994年には314人の男性が強姦で逮捕され、そのうち79%を欧州内生まれ、21%は欧州外で、50%は外国人だった、と。

 The Mission Investigation programme, broadcast by SVT, said that the total number of offenders over five years was 843. Of those, 197 were from the Middle East and North Africa, with 45 coming from Afghanistan, and 134 from Southern Africa

2018年のテレビ番組によると過去5年でレイプは843件。そのうち中東、北アフリカからが197件 で、45件はアフガン、134件は南アフリカから。

"We are very clear in the programme that it is a small percentage of the people coming from abroad who are convicted of rape," chief editor Ulf Johansson told the BBC.
He pointed out that the number of reported rapes in Sweden was far higher, so no conclusions could be drawn on the role of immigrants in sexual attacks

性暴行の件数はこれよりずっと多いから、はっきりした結論はでるものではない、と。

 In 2021, a study found that of 3039 offenders aged 15–60 convicted of raping over 18 years of age in the 2000–2015 period, 59.2% had an immigrant background and 47.7% were born outside Sweden.[33]
さらにspicaちゃんが引用してた記事を引用している。

 これはspicaちゃんが言う通りだね。ちなみに、外国人といっても、1994年の統計をみると、中東やアフリカとはかぎらないわけだね。

There are lots of myths about rape, sexual assault, sexual abuse and other types of sexual violence that cause serious harm. At Rape Crisis, we work to shatter these myths, and help victims and survivors get the support they need and deserve.

 Men of certain backgrounds are more likely to commit sexual violence or abuse than others. Fact: There is no typical rapist. People who commit sexual violence and abuse come from every economic, ethnic, racial, age and social group. 

レイプ加害者について特定の経済的、民族的、年齢的、社会的背景の男性がより性的暴行をしやすいか、というとそんなことない、と。

例えば、アメリカ、テキサスのケースだと




We find that undocumented immigrants have substantially lower crime rates than native-born citizens and legal immigrants across a range of felony offenses. Relative to undocumented immigrants, US-born citizens are over 2 times more likely to be arrested for violent crimes, 2.5 times more likely to be arrested for drug crimes, and over 4 times more likely to be arrested for property crimes.



性的暴行Sexual Assaultの加害者の比率は

米国生まれ>合法移民>非正規移民

であるらしい。

また、以前の記事で犯罪一般についてであるが、


  immigrants are less likely to commit serious crimes or be behind bars than the native-born, and high rates of immigration are associated with lower rates of violent crime and property crime.

  this paper provides an empirical connection between immigration and crime in the period 1988-2018 across 30 OECD countries. For empirical analysis, advanced panel econometric approaches are used which can address both heterogonous coefficients and cross-section dependency. The findings show that no statistical evidence exists to relate an increase in the number of immigrants to the rise of any kind of crime.
移民による犯罪率というのは原住民より低いし、犯罪率の増加には影響ない、と言われている。

同じく、以前の記事であるが、イスラム教徒のレイプ率について欧州議会は、

Answer given by Ms Jourová on behalf of the Commission 6.5.2015
The Commission is aware of the particular situation in Rotherham referred to in the question and condemns it. However, there is no conclusive evidence about a correlation between religion, ethnicity or migrant status and the likelihood of perpetrating rape.
ロザラム児童性的搾取事件は非難されるべきものであるが、宗教、民族、移民の資格と強姦が相関しているかどうかについての決定的な証拠はない、と。
という回答を出している。


ーーー移民について安易な結論をだしてしまうのはやばいんじゃないかな?


(性犯罪、レイプ率 犯罪率)

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